茶园沟泥石流易发性综合评价     

朵天惠  王永利  陈鹏飞  黄支刚 《东北地震研究》2010,(4):41-44

本文基于模糊数学中多级综合评判的理论与方法,运用专家调查打分法确定各评价因子的权重,并结合茶园沟泥石流灾害的具体特点、成因和机理,选取典型的评判因子,建立二级评判模型,对茶园沟泥石流易发性进行二级模糊综合评判。  相似文献   

Potential land for plantation of Jatropha curcas as feedstocks for biodiesel in China     

WU WeiGuang      HUANG JiKun  & DENG XiangZheng 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2010,(1)

As a renewable energy,biofuel has attracted great attention in China and the rest of world.Concerned with the national food security,China recently has shifted its biofuel development priority from grain-based to non-grain-based biofuels,including forest-based biodiesel,since 2007.Jatropha curcas is one of major biodiesel feedstocks.However,there is rising debate on availability of land for expanding Jatropha curcas areas.The overall goal of this paper is to evaluate potential land for Jatropha curcas used ...  相似文献   

CO_2地质储存潜力与适宜性评价方法及初步评价   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0       下载免费PDF全文

范基姣  贾小丰  张森琦  郭建强  金晓琳  刁玉杰  李旭峰  张徽 《水文地质工程地质》2011,38(6):108-112

借鉴国外CO2地质储存潜力与适宜性调查评价工作程序,在充分考虑我国复杂的地质背景、CO2地质储存研究现状等因素的基础上,将我国CO2地质储存潜力与适宜性评价工作划分国家级潜力评价阶段、盆地级潜力评价阶段、目标区级潜力评价阶段、场地级评价阶段、灌注、监测运行期评价阶段,按评价精度由低到高,分称为CO2地质储存潜力与适宜性评价E、D、C、B、A级;并对我国CO2地质储存潜力与适宜性进行了E级评价,即运用层次分析-模糊指数法对我国陆相沉积盆地进行了初步筛选,并对其储量进行了计算,认为我国陆上沉积盆地深部咸水含水层是最主要的CO2地质储量场所。  相似文献   

基于改进的灰关联分析和层次分析法的边坡稳定性研究   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3  

丁丽宏 《岩土力学》2011,32(11):3437-3441

边坡的稳定性受到多种因素的共同影响,合理评价和预测其稳定性是边坡研究中亟需解决的课题。提出了基于改进的灰关联分析和3标度的层次分析法（AHP）相结合的边坡稳定性分析的综合方法。由改进的灰关联分析理论,得到边坡稳定性等级的关联度,根据最大关联度准则判断待测边坡的稳定性等级。该方法克服了传统灰关联分析中没有考虑稳定性评价标准中的区间形式的缺点,并利用3标度的层次分析法,对影响边坡稳定的各指标的权重进行了讨论,从而提高了灰关联分析的精度。实例分析表明,该方法能准确反映边坡稳定性状况,证明了方法是合理、有效的  相似文献   

金沙江流域泥石流的组合赋权法危险度评价   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

张晨  王清  陈剑平  谷复光  张文 《岩土力学》2011,32(3):831-836

针对目前地质灾害危险性评价中对指标权重确定方法的缺陷,使用改进的层次分析法和熵值法确定金沙江流域泥石流的各影响因素权重。在此基础上,提出一种新的组合赋权规则,使两类权重间的差异程度和分配系数间的差异程度相一致,从而排除人为因素及数据奇异点的影响,得到相对客观准确的结果。以金沙江的典型泥石流作为计算实例,对现场数据进行了提取之后,使用上述方法计算出影响因子的权重,将权重代入经典的危险性分析模型进行评估。计算结果与当地泥石流的实际情况和发展趋势相符合,从而证明了该方法的合理性。  相似文献   

基于不确定型层次分析法的边坡稳定模糊评判方法   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

翟友成  曹文贵  王江营  张永杰 《岩土力学》2011,32(Z2):539-543

针对边坡稳定性影响因素众多复杂,且存在模糊不确定性和层次性的特点,首先引入锚固边坡稳定性分析二级模糊综合评判模型,并基于模糊数学理论建立评价指标隶属度确定方法和模糊运算规则,从而建立出锚固边坡稳定性分析的二级模糊综合评判方法;然后,考虑评价指标重要程度取值的不确定性、专家判断的模糊性以及群组决策的优势,建立基于群组决策的不确定型层次分析（AHP）方法确定权重,进而建立出基于AHP的锚固边坡稳定模糊评判方法,最后通过工程实例分析和计算,表明文中方法的可行性与合理性。  相似文献   

基于离差加权的煤矿突水水源判别模型及应用     

潘婧  钱家忠  马雷 《煤田地质与勘探》2010,38(1):54-57

矿井突(涌)水水源的快速识别是矿井水害有效防治的前提条件。针对应用模糊综合评判方法解决水源判别常用的"超标加权法"和"偏标加权法"确定判别因子的权重系数方面存在的不足,结合方差分析中的离差分解法,提出了矿井突水水源判别权重系数确定的离差加权法;利用SPSS软件,并以淮南潘三矿为例,对上述3种模型进行对比分析研究。结果表明:基于离差加权的模糊综合评判能够有效的判别突水水源,比"超标加权法"和"偏标加权法"有更高的判别率;基于离差加权的模糊综合评判具有原理清晰、结构简单、运算量小、更为合理等优点,适合快速识别水源,为矿井水害防治提供了一种辅助决策手段。   相似文献   

Evaluation of the exact conditional spectrum and generalized conditional intensity measure methods for ground motion selection          下载免费PDF全文

N. Simon Kwong  Anil K. Chopra 《地震工程与结构动力学》2016,45(5):757-777

Two existing, contemporary ground motion selection and modification procedures – (i) exact conditional spectrum (CS‐exact) and (ii) generalized conditional intensity measure (GCIM) – are evaluated in their ability to accurately estimate seismic demand hazard curves (SDHCs) of a given structure at a specified site. The amount of effort involved in implementing these procedures to compute a single SDHC is studied, and a case study is chosen where rigorous benchmark SDHCs can be determined for evaluation purposes. By comparing estimates from ground motion selection and modification procedures with the benchmark, we conclude that estimates from CS‐exact are unbiased in many of the cases considered. The estimates from GCIM are even more accurate, as they are unbiased for most – but not all – of the cases where estimates from CS‐exact are biased. We find that it is possible to obtain biased SDHCs from GCIM, even after employing a very diverse collection of intensity measures to select ground motions and implementing its bias‐checking feature, because it is usually difficult to identify intensity measures that are truly ‘sufficient’ for the response of a complex, multi‐degree‐of‐freedom system. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A three-dimensional model for suspended sediment transport based on the compact discontinuous Galerkin method     

《国际泥沙研究》2016,(1):36-43

  相似文献   

PRE-ASSESSMENT OF EARTHQUAKE-INDUCED LOSSES BASED ON FIELD SURVEY AND KILOMETER GRID DATASET: A CASE STUDY FROM DEHONG DAI-JINGPO AUTONOMOUS PREFECTURE          下载免费PDF全文

SONG Ping  NIE Gao-zhong  DENG Yan  AN Ji-wen  GAO Na  FAN Xi-wei  LI Hua-yue 《地震地质》2016,38(4):1148-1159

The pre-assessment of earthquake damage based on field surveys and grid dataset in 1km resolution is very helpful for emergency preparedness and mitigation of earthquake disaster losses.In this paper,we briefly introduced the contents,principles,methods and the results of software assessment as well as the revised results after field surveys.In addition,the emergency supplies and manpower requirements after the outbreak of earthquake are discussed.The assessment contents include the earthquake affected area and population,the amount of casualties,injuries,economic losses,and the number of population to be resettled.Scenario earthquake is set with an interval of 50 kilometers along the major faults and the losses induced by earthquake are outputted by the software.After that,the software outputs are revised based on field surveys.In addition,according to the earthquake cases happening between 2008 and 2015,the growth curve model used to estimate the demand of rescue supplies and teams is also proposed in this study.Based on this model and the software named earthquake emergency disaster rapid assessment and dynamic visualized software (NIE Gao-zhong,2014),and with the help of the statistical data such as population density and socio-economic situations,earthquake losses are pre-assessed by taking Dehong Dai-Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture as an example.The comparison shows that the actual losses are nearly the same as the software outputs.However,due to the ignorance of the casualties caused by geological disasters,the revised casualties are more than the software output.Not only the study area discussed in this paper,the earthquake loss assessment method can also be used to other regions in China.  相似文献